Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 10.045383 11.345782 12.840568 14.707238 17.006828 19.789654 2.348039e+01
2024-12-15 8.083130 9.718662 11.792618 14.696994 18.804496 24.661978 3.420145e+01
2024-12-22 6.949048 8.681457 11.018568 14.552374 20.071080 29.022479 4.649603e+01
2024-12-29 6.378884 8.226906 10.854473 15.107196 22.396638 35.867497 6.817629e+01
2025-01-05 5.671399 7.456685 10.078376 14.509232 22.589411 38.970780 8.522108e+01
2025-01-12 5.090624 6.790056 9.347285 13.816158 22.378818 41.140517 1.026817e+02
2025-01-19 4.667561 6.307739 8.831671 13.382565 22.527483 44.194880 1.280676e+02
2025-01-26 4.389066 6.013944 8.574725 13.351886 23.476942 49.777023 1.763515e+02
2025-02-02 4.358304 6.097318 8.939414 14.530997 27.455863 66.888266 3.686706e+02
2025-02-09 4.249069 6.041404 9.055696 15.247279 30.652292 85.218856 8.328644e+02
2025-02-16 4.055299 5.827787 8.866127 15.293068 32.136984 98.987424 1.813772e+03
2025-02-23 3.940566 5.735497 8.883763 15.787476 35.114970 124.770106 1.068992e+04
2025-03-02 3.699343 5.428869 8.508079 15.423425 35.677185 141.118701 1.048240e+06
2025-03-09 3.510441 5.202595 8.269981 15.362862 37.351990 171.317616 NaN
2025-03-16 3.331930 4.979433 8.012146 15.204867 38.668245 205.413832 NaN
2025-03-23 3.245323 4.911558 8.051414 15.797081 43.226567 301.478274 NaN
2025-03-30 3.053640 4.638921 7.647350 15.158547 42.455124 326.196547 NaN
2025-04-06 2.869901 4.369863 7.228702 14.419518 40.977344 335.506758 NaN
2025-04-13 2.725680 4.165272 6.927707 13.957758 40.600200 369.973785 NaN
2025-04-20 2.629586 4.043840 6.790086 13.925104 42.255689 476.611631 NaN
2025-04-27 2.640797 4.122824 7.084415 15.181771 51.453890 1194.558524 NaN
2025-05-04 2.609848 4.119088 7.198778 15.946761 59.083784 3380.573409 NaN
2025-05-11 2.532389 4.020151 7.090363 15.995703 62.388870 8075.229501 NaN